A year ago, I noticed that City Councilor Michael
Flaherty showed up at Sonia Chang-Diaz's victory party in Jamaica Plain. Chang-
Diaz had just defeated sitting State Senator Dianne Wilkerson in the state primary, and
Flaherty wanted to pass on his congratulations.
No doubt, however,
Flaherty wanted to catch a feeling of the wave that Chang-
Diaz had created to deliver the upset. Just a few months later
Flaherty would announce he hoped to become Mayor, challenging a 16-year incumbent. What could he learn from Chang-Diaz's win (Wilkerson had also been in office for several terms) and perhaps more importantly, how could he win favor with the same group that backed the challenger?
City Councilor Sam
Yoon was not at the victory party, however I am sure the Chang-
Diaz phenomenon also partially motivated his decision this year to jump into the Mayoral race.
Chang-
Diaz, after all, exemplified what
Flaherty and
Yoon hoped to do. They wanted to unseat an incumbent who had been in office for a long time. They wanted to ride the wave of change.
Chang-
Diaz did extremely well in my neighborhood of Beacon Hill, and in the other neighborhoods that comprise Ward 5--- Back Bay,
Fenway and Bay Village. She won more than 70-percent of the vote across the ward. For Sam
Yoon, in particular, such results were critical to his hopes. If he could replicate what Chang-
Diaz did, one figured,
Yoon would have a shot. Especially since conventional wisdom said the socioeconomic realities of Ward 5 were inclined to favor
Yoon.
Of course, there were three challengers running this past Tuesday, so emulating Chang-Diaz's mark stood as a pretty lofty goal for
Yoon. Still, he didn't even come close. In fact, he lost Ward 5 to the incumbent Mayor by nearly six percent.
Looking at the precinct level results within Ward 5 doesn't provide much solace to the
Yoon camp. The Mayor won the Beacon Hill/Back Bay area of the Ward (arguably one center of
Yoon's base). By comparison, Chang-
Diaz picked up more than 80-percent of the vote in certain Back Bay precincts last year.
So why did the Mayor win Ward 5? Why didn't those Chang-
Diaz voters flock to Sam
Yoon en mass? Certainly no two elections are the same, and this year's Mayoral contest is very different from last year's state senate race.
Boston is a world-renown city. It has its problems, but on the whole, residents I have spoken to in Ward 5 are happy with where Boston is right now and are proud to live here.
The Mayor has made some very difficult decisions. On his reasons, he doesn't equivocate. I think voters appreciate that in a Mayor.
The Mayor is mindful of the city's finances. Boston has the highest bond rating in its history. A sound financial stance actually resonates with residents in Ward 5.
Yoon's comment that he doesn't think bond ratings are important did not go over well.
Finally, last year's state senate race was marred by a variety of past ethical accusations against the incumbent. Chang-
Diaz ran on the message that voters should not have to sacrifice ethics for progressive leadership. The message resonated. This year, in the case of the Mayor, the
incumbent's administration is free from any such accusations. People will note certain traits of his personality, but the bottom line is the Mayor has never been the subject of any sort of investigation.
The other bottom line is the city of Boston is doing fine, and the Mayor has good ideas for moving the city forward. And for the plurality of voters in Ward 5 who came to the polls Tuesday, that reasoning for the Mayor was good enough.
Editor's Note: I am a supporter of Mayor Menino's and am volunteering for his campaign team. Last year, I volunteered for Sonia Chang-Diaz's campaign team.